We are witnessing the start of a new Cold War, with Russia and China joining a non-agression pact and authoritarian states facing off against liberal democracies around the globe. China is taking a bold swipe at the Western alliance by wading into Western European security disputes.
What we're seeing in Ukraine is the predictable backlash of a cornered Russia against 30 years of NATO expansionism; expansion that came despite well-documented US assurances to the contrary, and which would inevitably reach the boundaries of Russia. Taking Russia's security concerns seriously would have avoided the Ukraine tragedy.
The Russian invasion of Ukraine is a strategic coup encouraged by Xi Jinping. He encouraged the conflict and is now taking notes on the Western response to plan a Taiwan invasion and other acts of international aggression.