Day 105 Roundup: Russia Claims 97% Control of Donbas; Zelenskyy Says Ukraine Must Achieve 'Full De-Occupation'

    Image copyright: AP Photos [via The Washington Times]

    The Spin

    Pro-establishment narrative

    As the war shifts to the strategically important Donbas regions of Luhansk and Donetsk, the US and its allies need to continue to do everything in their power to arm Ukraine with all the weapons they need. Doing so is the only way to push Putin's forces back as was done in Kyiv.

    Pro-Russia narrative

    As stated by Putin, the whole purpose of the war was never to invade Kyiv, but to liberate the ethnically Russian people of Donetsk and Luhansk, who have been subjected to systematic killing by Ukrainian forces for not recognizing the 2014 coup in Kyiv. This tragedy would have been avoided if NATO had kept its promise not to expand eastward in return for German reunification.

    Metaculus Prediction


    Establishment split

    CRITICAL

    PRO

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