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Erdoğan Renews Threat To Block NATO's Nordic Expansion

    story
    MAR 2022
    Image copyright: news
    story last updated DEC 2022

    The Spin

    Narrative A

    It would be unacceptable to have the Nordic pair in the alliance while they had close ties with anti-Turkey terrorist groups. This vow to modify policies is an important step, but it still needs to be implemented in order to tackle threats against Turkey, a long-time NATO member and its second-largest standing military,

    Daily Sabah

    Narrative B

    Turkey has used Finland and Sweden's NATO bids to advance its racist anti-Kurdish agenda, testing how far it could go in blackmailing the alliance. NATO's future is now at risk as the alliance created to protect liberal democracies has become hostage of Erdoğan's authoritarian regime.

    Jerusalem Post

    Narrative C

    The deal reached between Finland, Sweden and Turkey reinforces NATO's position, sending a clear message to the Kremlin. The Nordic expansion of the alliance is a massive defeat to Putin, who sought to prevent the alliance's enlargement by invading Ukraine.

    Newsweek

    Metaculus Prediction


    Go Deeper

    The Russia-Ukraine War
    Context
    +23
    OCT 2022OCT 2022

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    The U.S. moves closer to selling F-16s to Turkey.
    New York TimesJUL 2022
    Russia Reacts to Sweden and Finland Nearing NATO Membership
    NewsweekJUL 2022
    Erdogan urges NATO allies to respect concerns on Finland, Sweden
    Al JazeeraJUL 2022
    Boris Johnson on security deal with Sweden and Nato membership
    BBC NewsJUL 2022
    Finland's leaders announce intention to join NATO saying they must apply 'without delay'
    Daily MailJUL 2022
    Swedish FM signs formal application to join NATO
    RTJUL 2022
    Why do Finland and Sweden appear headed toward swift NATO membership while Ukraine isn’t?
    New York TimesJUL 2022
    Russia changes position on Ukraine’s EU membership bid
    RTJUL 2022
    Finland’s president and PM make statement on NATO
    RTJUL 2022
    Finland and Sweden Apply to Join NATO Alliance
    New York TimesJUL 2022
    Biden Pledges Thousands Of Troops To Boost NATO Defenses
    Daily CallerJUL 2022
    ‘Let’s Make a Deal’ – Turkey Sets Demands for Finland/Sweden NATO Membership
    AntiWarJUL 2022
    Finns warm to NATO in alarmed reaction to Russian invasion of Ukraine
    One AmericaJUL 2022
    Russian Property Buying Surges in Turkey, NATO's Weak Link
    NewsweekJUL 2022
    Erdoğan says he is cutting all ties with Greek PM, dashing hopes of talks
    GuardianJUL 2022
    Biden Commits U.S. Support to Finland, Sweden Joining NATO
    Wall Street JournalJUL 2022
    Biden Announces Military Boost on NATO’s Eastern Flank
    New York TimesJUL 2022
    NATO Formally Offers Sweden and Finland Membership to the Alliance
    New York TimesJUL 2022
    Deteriorating Conditions in Mariupol Raise Fears of Disease
    New York TimesJUL 2022
    The leaders of Finland and Sweden say they will jointly submit their NATO applications.
    New York TimesJUL 2022
    Putin: If Finns, Swedes Get NATO ‘Military Infrastructure,’ We’ll Respond
    AntiWarJUL 2022
    Finland votes in favour of joining NATO after Sweden applies as Putin says he has 'no problem'
    Daily MailJUL 2022
    Russia Denounces Congress’s $40 Billion Ukraine Aid Bill as Part of U.S. Proxy War
    Democracy NowJUL 2022
    A Russian Solider Pleads Guilty to Committing War Crime in Ukraine
    New York TimesJUL 2022
    Fearing martial law or conscription, some Russians try to flee abroad
    One AmericaJUL 2022
    Lev Parnas: Giuliani associate linked to Trump’s Ukraine scandal jailed for 20 months in fraud and campaign finance case
    IndependentJUL 2022
    Finland and Sweden make security pledges to win Turkey’s acceptance of their NATO membership bids.
    New York TimesJUL 2022
    Finland and Sweden one step closer to Nato membership after accession protocol signed
    IndependentJUL 2022
    Ukraine’s villages ‘wiped from the face of earth’ as Russian shelling intensifies
    IndependentJUL 2022
    Putin wouldn’t have launched ‘macho’ war if he were a woman, says Boris Johnson
    IndependentJUL 2022
    Finland’s leaders urge applying for NATO membership ‘without delay.’
    New York TimesJUL 2022
    Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine Is Likely to Create a New 1,300km Border With NATO
    ViceJUL 2022
    Delegations from Sweden and Finland in Turkey for Nato talks
    IndependentJUL 2022
    Nato would ‘warmly welcome’ Finland and Sweden joining alliance
    IndependentJUL 2022
    We're ready to consider Nato membership
    BBC NewsJUL 2022
    Biden to host leaders of Sweden, Finland amid NATO bids
    IndependentJUL 2022
    Hundreds more Ukrainians surrender at Mariupol steel plant, Russia claims
    GuardianJUL 2022
    UK threat over NI Brexit deal ‘breeding mistrust in EU capitals’
    GuardianJUL 2022
    At NATO Summit, Biden Pledges to Expand U.S. Military Presence in Europe
    Democracy NowJUL 2022
    Putin Warns NATO Against Expanding Military Presence in Finland and Sweden
    Democracy NowJUL 2022
    Russia Denies Putin Planning Turkey Visit as Erdogan Resists NATO Expansion
    NewsweekJUL 2022
    Biden meets Sweden, Finland leaders to talk NATO, Russia
    IndependentJUL 2022
    UK goes further than any other Nato country in Sweden and Finland pledge
    GuardianJUL 2022
    UK pledges to back Sweden and Finland against Russian threats
    GuardianJUL 2022
    Turkey's Erdogan slams Greek PM
    RTJUL 2022
    NATO members make new security vows to Finland and Sweden
    RTJUL 2022
    EXPLAINER: Why is Turkey wary of Nordic states' NATO bid?
    IndependentJUL 2022
    High-speed trains departing Russia for Finland are packed.
    New York TimesJUL 2022
    Boris Johnson asks Nato allies to ‘step up’ spending amid row with Ben Wallace
    IndependentJUL 2022
    Why do Finland and Sweden want to join Nato?
    IndependentJUL 2022
    Finland's leaders in favor of applying for NATO membership
    IndependentJUL 2022
    Ben Wallace calls for higher defence spending by mid-2020s
    GuardianJUL 2022
    NATO's 'new Iron Curtain' as alliance commits extra troops at Madrid summit
    Daily MailJUL 2022
    Biden says Putin is getting 'exactly what he didn't want' - the 'NATO-zation of Europe'
    Daily MailJUL 2022
    NATO Madrid: Baltic nations demand a new garrison of 50,000 troops
    Daily MailJUL 2022
    Turkey Finds Potential Evidence to Use Against Sweden Joining NATO
    NewsweekJUL 2022
    West Is Lazy on Russia’s Blockade of Ukraine
    Wall Street JournalJUL 2022
    NATO Bids From Finland and Sweden Now Depend on Turkey’s President
    Wall Street JournalJUL 2022
    Sweden, Finland Weigh Cyber Risks Stemming From NATO Applications
    Wall Street JournalJUL 2022
    Does Erdogan’s Turkey Belong in NATO?
    Wall Street JournalJUL 2022
    Mariupol: Wife of fighter still inside Azovstal steelplant speaks to BBC
    BBC NewsJUL 2022
    A multinational task force says it has seized or frozen $30 BILLION of Russian oligarchs
    Daily MailJUL 2022
    Biden welcomes Swedish and Finnish leaders after Turkey says it will block their NATO applications
    Daily MailJUL 2022
    NATO poised to sign accession protocols for Sweden, Finland
    New York PostJUL 2022
    Erdoğan gains from lifting Sweden and Finland Nato veto with US fighter jet promise
    GuardianJUL 2022
    Ben Wallace plays down talk of rift with Boris Johnson over defence spending – UK politics live
    GuardianJUL 2022
    Today's D Brief: New US forces to Europe; Turkey lifts NATO objection; ‘Our 1937 moment’; China targets rare-earths firm; And a bit more.
    Defense OneJUL 2022
    A Swedish Compromise Won’t Solve NATO’s Turkey Problem
    Defense OneJUL 2022
    Today's D Brief: Finland warms up to NATO; Stalemate in E. Ukraine; Russia sanctions gas firms; ASEAN in DC; And a bit more.
    Defense OneJUL 2022
    Biden showers Turkey's President Erdogan with praise
    Daily MailJUL 2022
    Britain to commit 1,000 extra troops to Nato’s defence of Estonia
    GuardianJUL 2022
    Wednesday briefing: Defence secretary Ben Wallace goes on the warpath over military spending
    GuardianJUL 2022
    RT News - June 29 2022 (09:00 MSK)
    RTJUL 2022
    Sweden signs NATO request, Finns to formally endorse move
    IndependentJUL 2022
    EXPLAINER: Why Finland, Sweden joining NATO will be big deal
    IndependentJUL 2022
    First Thing: Buffalo gunman ‘plotted attack for months’
    GuardianJUL 2022
    NATO allies declare Russia to be the biggest threat to their safety and security
    Daily MailJUL 2022
    Ukraine war: Biden to meet leaders of Finland and Sweden to discuss NATO bid
    Daily MailJUL 2022
    Ukraine war: Finland and Sweden submit NATO applications
    Daily MailJUL 2022
    Wives of Russian soldiers plead for their return from war
    Washington PostJUL 2022
    Opinion | Putin wants to terrorize Ukraine into submission. It’s not working.
    Washington PostJUL 2022
    Is Britain making a mistake about Finland and Sweden?
    American ThinkerJUL 2022
    How the addition of Finland and Sweden would change NATO
    Washington PostJUL 2022
    Leaves a bad taste: Russian salad served at Nato summit
    IndependentJUL 2022
    AP News Digest 3 a.m.
    IndependentJUL 2022
    Live updates | NATO says Finland, Sweden apply to join
    IndependentJUL 2022
    The Guardian view on expanding Nato: Putin has only himself to blame | Editorial
    GuardianJUL 2022
    E-scooter scheme could close over ‘dubious’ Russia links
    GuardianJUL 2022
    Czechs allow citizens to fight for Ukraine
    RTJUL 2022
    Sweden officially signs NATO application as Putin shows weakening resolve
    Daily MailJUL 2022
    Russian state TV warns of 'a new iron curtain' in furious response to Finland's NATO bid
    Daily MailJUL 2022
    Rudy Giuliani associate Lev Parnas sentenced to 20 months in prison
    New York PostJUL 2022
    Sweden, Finland delegations in Turkey for NATO talks
    IndependentJUL 2022
    Turkey's Erdogan talks to Swedish, Finnish leaders on NATO
    IndependentJUL 2022
    Ukraine update: Turkey relents, Finland and Sweden to join NATO
    Daily KosJUL 2022
    Ukraine update: The tankies think everything—even the Ukraine invasion—is America's fault
    Daily KosJUL 2022
    Finnish Parliament votes in favor of NATO membership
    RTJUL 2022
    Lavrov makes Napoleon and Hitler comparison over Ukraine
    RTJUL 2022
    Biden: US boosting force posture in Europe for Russia threat
    IndependentJUL 2022
    Live updates | Ukraine: Russian shelling kills 6 civilians
    IndependentJUL 2022
    Finland, Sweden submit NATO membership application
    IndependentJUL 2022
    Turkey lifts its objections to Sweden, Finland joining NATO
    New York PostJUL 2022
    Billionaire predicts ‘most brutal’ financial crisis for Russia over Ukraine
    RTJUL 2022
    EU agrees crypto measures against Russia
    RTJUL 2022
    The most striking aspect of Sweden and Finland's application to join NATO
    CNNJUL 2022
    Finland's leaders announce support for joining NATO
    CNNJUL 2022
    British and US troops join thousands of NATO soldiers for war games in message to Putin
    Daily MailJUL 2022
    Live updates | NATO chief: alliance in 'biggest challenge'
    IndependentJUL 2022
    Finland, Sweden inch closer to becoming full-fledged NATO members
    New York PostJUL 2022
    NATO member blocks accession talks for Sweden and Finland – media
    RTJUL 2022
    Neutral Finland, Sweden warm to idea of NATO membership
    IndependentJUL 2022
    Finland must apply for NATO membership, leaders say
    New York PostJUL 2022
    Joe Biden offers ‘strong support’ for Finland, Sweden NATO expansion
    New York PostJUL 2022
    How Russian disinformation could derail entry plan for Finland and Sweden
    IndependentJUL 2022
    NATO formally invites Finland, Sweden to join alliance
    New York PostJUL 2022
    Media names date of Sweden’s NATO bid
    RTJUL 2022
    US to keep 100K troops in Europe to face Russia threat as Biden vows to ‘step up’
    New York PostJUL 2022
    Sweden says it's not providing money, military aid to Kurds
    IndependentJUL 2022
    AP News Digest 3:40 am
    IndependentJUL 2022
    AP News Digest 3:15 am
    IndependentJUL 2022
    Finland’s NATO membership will trigger response – Moscow
    RTJUL 2022
    Greek PM criticizes 'constant aggressive behavior' of Turkey
    IndependentJUL 2022
    Russia reportedly moves nuclear-capable missiles to Finland border
    New York PostJUL 2022
    Russia could cut Finland gas supply and threatens ‘retaliatory steps’ over Nato
    IndependentJUL 2022
    Turkey outlines expectations from NATO
    RTJUL 2022
    Disney reveals losses from leaving Russian market
    RTJUL 2022
    Biden to meet with Sweden’s Magdalena Andersson, Finland’s Sauli Niinisto over NATO bid
    New York PostJUL 2022
    EXPLAINER: How was Turkey’s veto of Nordic NATO bid avoided?
    IndependentJUL 2022
    NATO launches ratification process for Sweden and Finland's membership in wake of Russia's invasion
    Daily MailJUL 2022
    Ukraine war: Turkey issues list of demands for Sweden to join NATO
    Daily MailJUL 2022
    Boris Johnson signs historic security pacts with Sweden and Finland as they consider NATO membership
    Daily MailJUL 2022
    Finland and Sweden will be welcomed into NATO quickly with 'open arms', chief Jens Stoltenberg says
    Daily MailJUL 2022
    FOUR Russian fighter jets violate Swedish airspace
    Daily MailJUL 2022
    Finland’s leaders call for speedy entrance into NATO
    New York PostJUL 2022
    Biden brushes off Turkey opposition to Finland, Sweden joining NATO
    New York PostJUL 2022
    President Joe Biden to meet with Swedish and Finnish leaders after their nations apply to join NATO
    CNNJUL 2022
    Et tu Suomi
    Daily KosJUL 2022
    Finland Announces It Will Join NATO, Sweden to Follow, While Moscow Makes Its Usual Threats
    Red StateJUL 2022
    Biden and NATO leaders prepare to beef up alliance forces and set the stage for Finland and Sweden to join their ranks
    CNNJUL 2022
    Biden administration planning to impose new sanctions on Russian oligarchs as soon as Thursday
    CNNJUL 2022
    After Blocking, Turkey Lifts Objections to Sweden NATO Membership
    BreitbartJUL 2022
    Russian military expert draws 5 conclusions about Vladimir Putin's end game
    AlterNetJUL 2022
    Zelensky Berates NATO: Demands Yet More Arms, Money, and Support
    BreitbartJUL 2022
    Turkey Blocks NATO Membership Talks for Sweden and Norway
    BreitbartJUL 2022
    Brexit's Farage Warns Finland and Sweden NATO Admission a 'Mistake'
    BreitbartJUL 2022
    The Most Evil Government in History - LewRockwell
    Lew RockwellJUL 2022
    United Kingdom Signs Defence Pledge to Protect Sweden from Russia
    BreitbartJUL 2022
    Survey: Vast Majority of Finns Willing To Fight For Country In Case of War
    BreitbartJUL 2022
    UK Should Send ‘Defensive Weapons’ to Taiwan, Says Foreign Secretary
    BreitbartJUL 2022
    General Hodges is saying July is going to be a VERY bad month for Russia and it is just starting.
    Daily KosJUL 2022
    Turkey: Sweden Must Stop 'Support' For Terror Groups For NATO Approval
    BreitbartJUL 2022
    Russian Energy Company Shuts Off Electricity to Finland
    BreitbartJUL 2022
    Inside Biden's successful six-month bid to expand NATO
    CNNJUL 2022
    Finland to Join NATO, as UK Pledges to Defend Sweden and Finland
    BreitbartJUL 2022
    Finnish and Swedish Delegations Begin NATO Negotiations in Turkey
    BreitbartJUL 2022
    Biden to host leaders of Sweden and Finland at White House as countries look to join NATO
    CNNJUL 2022
    Britain signs security deal vowing to defend Sweden in case of attack
    Raw StoryJUL 2022
    Rudy Giuliani associate Lev Parnas sentenced to nearly 2 years in prison
    Raw StoryJUL 2022
    NATO begins official admission procedure for Sweden and Finland
    Raw StoryJUL 2022
    NATO is on the attack once again, pretending to defend us – Veterans Today
    Veterans TodayJUL 2022
    No More NATO Expansion – Veterans Today
    Veterans TodayJUL 2022
    Sweden's Gotland at crossroads of history as NATO decision looms
    Raw StoryJUL 2022
    Russia threatens 'retaliatory steps' as Finland inches closer to joining NATO
    Raw StoryJUL 2022
    Finland & Sweden Seek To Calm Russia By Ruling Out NATO Bases & Nuke-Hosting
    InfoWarsJUL 2022
    Citing Russia threat, Biden to ramp up U.S. forces in Europe
    Raw StoryJUL 2022
    Erdogan Looking to Leverage Turkey's Support of NATO Expansion
    PJ MediaJUL 2022
    Ukraine war dominates crucial NATO summit
    Raw StoryJUL 2022
    Turkey Leaders Again Oppose Sweden, Finland NATO Memberships
    BreitbartJUL 2022
    Sweden Officially Signs Formal NATO Membership Request
    BreitbartJUL 2022
    NATO to agree biggest defense policy changes since end of Cold War
    Raw StoryJUL 2022