UK: Channel Crossings Hit 20K in Labour's First Five Months

    UK: Channel Crossings Hit 20K in Labour's First Five Months
    Above: A group of people thought to be migrants are brought in to Dover, Kent, onboard the RNLI Dungeness Lifeboat following a small boat incident in the Channel. Image copyright: Gareth Fuller/PA Images via Getty Images

    The Facts

    • More than 20K migrants have crossed the English Channel in small boats since Labour's July election victory. The threshold was passed when two boats carrying 122 people arrived in the UK last weekend.

    • The total number of Channel crossings for 2024 has now reached 33.6K, marking an increase compared to the same period last year, though still below the record levels seen in 2022.


    The Spin

    Left narrative

    Keir Starmer's government is addressing the rise in small boat crossings, which spiked due to an unprecedented number of “red days” this autumn creating ideal conditions for crossings. Labour is committed to dismantling people-smuggling gangs and enhancing border security, with plans to invest in technology and international partnerships. The government aims to balance migration with workforce training, avoiding past mistakes and ensuring a fair immigration system.

    Right narrative

    Keir Starmer's failure to address illegal migration has led to a dramatic increase in Channel crossings in the five months since he became prime minister. Despite his promises to tackle people smuggling, the numbers have surged by 20%, compared to last year. Weak policies, such as the decision to abandon the Rwanda deterrent, have emboldened criminal gangs, costing taxpayers billions. Starmer’s lax approach has only intensified the crisis, leaving the UK vulnerable to a growing migration disaster.


    Metaculus Prediction


    Public figures in this story


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