Who gains from India’s endless election?
ArchiveApr 20
India: Election Begins as 62% Vote in First of Seven Phases
The Facts
The first phase of voting for India's general election was held for 102 parliamentary seats on Friday, with around 62% turnout recorded across 21 states and Union Territories.
Nearly a billion eligible voters are set to elect 543 members to the Lok Sabha (the lower house of the Indian parliament), with polling taking place in seven phases from April 19 to June 1. The results will be declared on June 4.
The Spin
Right narrative
The Indian general election's extended duration is necessitated by logistical and security reasons to ensure a smooth and secure voting process — not to benefit Modi or his campaign. Despite opposition concerns about costs and advantages to the incumbent, the general election remains a fundamental aspect of India's democracy.
Left narrative
Modi's inauguration of a new Hindu temple at Ayodhya illustrated his efforts for re-election. His anti-Muslim history has shaped his political path. The temple consecration underlined India's shift towards Hindu supremacy, challenging its secular fabric. Modi's actions often blur the line between state and religion. The future of India's democracy is at stake.
Nerd narrative
There's a 50% chance the BJP will win at least 322 seats in the 2024 Indian election, according to the Metaculus prediction community.