Red Cross Says Armed Groups Control Up to 85% of Haiti's Capital

    Red Cross Says Armed Groups Control Up to 85% of Haiti's Capital
    Above: Demonstrators took to the streets in Port-au-Prince on April 2, 2025, to once again demand the departure of the Transitional Presidential Council due to its passivity in the face of the growing power of armed gangs in the Haitian capital. Image copyright: Guerinault Louis/Anadolu/Contributor via Getty Images

    The Spin

    Pro-establishment narrative

    Time is running out to contain the total collapse of Haiti and avoid a humanitarian catastrophe, so it's pressing that the United States breaks from its failed disengagement approach to the country in its backyard and empowers trusted Haitian and Haitian-American partners. Otherwise, Haiti will turn into a narco-state and pose a threat to Americans.

    Establishment-critical narrative

    None of the US-sponsored neocolonial interventions in Haiti have been particularly successful, including the Multinational Security and Support mission currently on the ground. Neither this occupation nor any other foreign efforts will address the plight of the people — only Haitians can achieve that.

    Metaculus Prediction


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