US Tariffs Trigger Global Trade Retaliation

US Tariffs Trigger Global Trade Retaliation
Above: Vallejo, California, Chevrolet dealerships display Silverado trucks on March 3, 2025. Image copyright: David Paul Morris/Contributor/Bloomberg via Getty Images

The Spin

Republican narrative

These tariffs will help make America great again by enabling political and economic concessions from allies and rivals on the global stage, boost US manufacturing, raise tax revenue, and spur domestic investment all while addressing critical national security concerns related to drug trafficking.

Democratic narrative

These tariffs will disrupt successful trading relationships, violate existing trade agreements, increase prices for American consumers on essential goods like groceries and automobiles, potentially cause job losses, and damage the broader global economy through escalating trade tensions.

Metaculus Prediction



The Controversies



Political split

LEFT

RIGHT

More neutral political stance articles

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