Controversy
Status:Resolved
When Will the US Federal Reserve Drop Interest Rates?
Resolution:
Sept. 18, 2024
Resolved on Sep 18, 2024
Photo:Tim Evanson via Flikr
Claims
Steve Wyett"[W]e [BOK financial] still target September as the most likely for an initial rate cut."Jun 09, 2024
Ian Shepherdson"[O]ur base case remains that a run of much weaker prints is coming, enabling a September easing."Jun 09, 2024
TD Securities"We expect the Fed’s upcoming decision to come down to the magnitude of the first rate cut.”Aug 14, 2024
Jenny Johnson"I do think if they [the Fed] look at the data... our first rate cuts are probably in September."Aug 16, 2024
John Kerschner"We [Janus Henderson Investors] believe the Fed does want to cut this year, but a cut is unlikely to happen until September at the earliest."Jun 09, 2024
Eric Roberts"We [Fiera Capital US] expect this strong [May jobs] report will dissuade the Fed from lowering interest rates in the near term."Jun 09, 2024
Elyse Ausenbaugh"[T]he first Fed rate cut is likely coming in the fourth quarter of this year."Jun 09, 2024
Nigel Green"We [deVere Group] expect that there's a significant risk that we might not see a rate cut until 2025."Jun 09, 2024
Morgan Stanley"Morgan Stanley Research expects three cuts this year, of 25 basis points each, starting in September."Aug 16, 2024
Christopher Waller"I do believe we are getting closer to the time when a cut in the policy rate is warranted."Aug 16, 2024
Joe Biden"I do stand by my prediction that before the year is out, there will [be] a rate cut."May 04, 2024
Kristina Hooper"I believe the Federal Reserve will cut before the end of the third quarter."Jul 16, 2024