Controversy
Status:Resolved

Who Will Win the 2024 UK General Election?

Resolution:

Labour Party.

Resolved on Jul 05, 2024

Who Will Win the 2024 UK General Election?

Claims

Andrew Neil
Andrew Neil"I don't expect Mr. Starmer's victory to be as big as the current lead in the polls, but it will still be convincing."Jun 04, 2024
Chris Hopkins
Chris HopkinsPolls point to "nothing short of electoral extinction for the Conservative Party."Jun 16, 2024
Keir Starmer
Keir Starmer"Sir Keir Starmer is set to win the largest Labour majority in history."Jul 03, 2024
Mel Stride
Mel Stride"I totally accept that... tomorrow is likely to see the largest Labour landslide majority, the largest majority that this country has ever seen."Jul 03, 2024
The Economist
The Economist"[I]t would take an odds-defying comeback for the Tories to hold on to power."May 22, 2024
The Economist
The Economist"Rishi Sunak's Tories are very unlikely to add to their victory tally."Apr 11, 2024
Tim Bale
Tim Bale"It's very difficult to imagine a government this far behind in the polls at this stage of the electoral cycle.... will be able to win an election."Feb 01, 2024
Rhun ap Iorwerth
Rhun ap Iorwerth"These results suggest we are heading for a hung parliament with Labour as the largest party."Jul 03, 2024
Rhun ap Iorwerth
Rhun ap Iorwerth"Keir Starmer is going to be prime minister in four weeks' time."Jun 12, 2024
John Curtice
John Curtice"[T]here's every reason to believe the opinion polls are in roughly the right place, and the opinion polls at the moment are pointing to a very comfortable Labour majority."May 03, 2024
Keir Starmer
Keir StarmerLabour is "ready for government.”Jul 03, 2024
Mel Stride
Mel Stride"We're not only going to get a Labour government, we're going to get a kind of supermajority."Jul 03, 2024
Chris Hopkins
Chris Hopkins“Labour could be heading for a large majority, with the Conservatives becoming the main opposition."Jul 03, 2024
YouGov
YouGov"Final YouGov MRP shows Labour on course for historic election victory."Jul 03, 2024
YouGov
YouGov"If the country were voting in a general election tomorrow, Labour would [be projected to] win 403 seats nationwide."Apr 03, 2024
John Curtice
John Curtice"Frankly, they [the Conservatives] are heading for crucifixion" in the general election.Jan 05, 2024
Tim Bale
Tim Bale"I think that [a Labour majority in the upcoming election] looks now eminently possible."Feb 01, 2024
Peter Kyle
Peter Kyle"[T]he general election is effectively over. Labour has won."Jun 08, 2024
Peter Kyle
Peter Kyle“If you look at the current polling... we [the Labour Party] are going to win decisively, we are going to win outright".May 06, 2023


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