Controversy
Bjorn Lomborg
Morning Star
Goldman Sachs
UBS Global Wealth Management
IEA
Deloitte Insights
Alexandra Merz
OPEC
BCG
Craig Ransley
+5
Status:Open

Will EVs exceed 50% of global sales by 2030?

UNLIKELYLIKELY

Claims

Craig Ransley
Craig Ransley"By 2030, we’re staring at 55–60% global EV penetration – not 40%."Nov 09, 2025
Deloitte Insights
Deloitte Insights"EVs would secure approximately 32% of the total market share for new car sales [by 2030]."Jun 11, 2025
Alexandra Merz
Alexandra Merz"EVs will make up between 62% and 86% of global car sales by then [2030]."Nov 09, 2025
Morning Star
Morning Star"By 2030, we forecast EVs will account for 40% of global auto sales – more than five times the number of EVs sold in 2022."Oct 15, 2022
IEA
IEA"Electric vehicle sales [will] reach over 30 million in 2025 and over 70 million in 2030, a total of approximately 30% and 60% of all vehicle sales, respectively."Nov 09, 2025
John Raymond Hanger
John Raymond Hanger"50% of global auto sales will be EV by 2030."Nov 09, 2025
Autovista24
Autovista24"The global EV share is forecast to reach 22.1% in 2025, then 44.9% in 2030, increasing to 69.7% in 2035."Aug 16, 2024
BCG
BCG"The global BEV share will rise to 45% in 2035, and will reach 54% in the US, 58% in China, and 62% in the EU."Nov 03, 2025
UBS Global Wealth Management
UBS Global Wealth Management"Given the long time horizon and uncertainty about many moving parts, a 17-23% EV share in 2025 and 40-60% in 2030 fall within our base case."Mar 12, 2021
Goldman Sachs
Goldman Sachs"Goldman Sachs Research now expects EVs to be 25% of global sales in 2030, down from a previous forecast of 28%."Sep 11, 2025
OPEC
OPEC"The share of EVs is projected to reach around 5% in 2030, 13% in 2040 and more than 16% in 2045."Nov 03, 2025
Bjorn Lomborg
Bjorn Lomborg"In 2030, just 13% of new cars sold will be electric; the majority will still be petrol, with diesel and hybrid at 18% each."Nov 09, 2025
Energy Transition Investor
Energy Transition Investor"The global EV penetration is likely to be in the 50-60% range by the end of this decade."Nov 09, 2025


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All rights reserved.

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