Controversy
Donald Trump
Nancy Pelosi
Ron DeSantis
Marjorie Taylor Greene
Mike Johnson
Hakeem Jeffries
Thom Tillis
Nancy Mace
James Carville
RNC
+5
Status:Open

Will the Republicans lose control of either the House of Representatives or Senate in the 2026 U.S. midterm elections?

UNLIKELYLIKELY

Claims

RNC
RNC"[MAGA voters] will need to show up at the ballot box; President Trump and Republicans are going to make that happen.”Nov 16, 2025
Mike Johnson
Mike Johnson"I’m very, very bullish about the midterms. I know that we are going to win because we have a great record to run on"Dec 16, 2025
Donald Trump
Donald Trump"If this story is properly told, we should win the Midterm Elections in RECORD NUMBERS."Nov 30, 2025
Nancy Pelosi
Nancy Pelosi"I think we will win them back, probably all of them, maybe more, in this election, and Hakeem Jeffries will be the speaker of the House."Nov 05, 2024
Nancy Mace
Nancy Mace“If we fail to pass legislation that permanently secures the border, addresses the affordability crisis, improves healthcare, and restores law and order, we [GOP] will lose this majority.”Dec 08, 2025
Larry Diamond
Larry Diamond"I think Republicans will lose the House in 2026, and that the MAGA project is going to fail in its ultimate test, which will be the next presidential election."Dec 12, 2025
Newt Gingrich
Newt Gingrich“Almost guarantee losing the Republican House next year and ruining the last two years of President Trump’s term with Hakeem Jeffries playing the Nancy Pelosi role—investigations, blocking programs, potential impeachments.”Feb 15, 2025
Mike Marinella
Mike Marinella"The math is in our favor, and it's clear House Republicans are on offense for 2026."Feb 06, 2025
Manuel Bonder
Manuel Bonder"In 2026, Pennsylvania will be at the center of putting a stop to [GOP policies] by flipping the House."Dec 11, 2025
Gavin Newsom
Gavin Newsom"[Trump] knows he’ll lose the midterms and he’s trying to rig the election before one vote is cast.”Nov 02, 2025
Thom Tillis
Thom Tillis“If we [GOP] are where we are today in the beginning of the second quarter [of 2026], then I think we’re in for a really rough time in November.”Dec 11, 2025
Ron DeSantis
Ron DeSantis"[Trump voters] won’t turn out to vote for a typical congressman in a midterm when Trump isn’t running."Dec 03, 2025
Marjorie Taylor Greene
Marjorie Taylor Greene“Our best shot was the first 6-9 months. And when Republicans likely lose the midterms it will become total and complete political war and gridlock once again.”Nov 25, 2025
Hakeem Jeffries
Hakeem Jeffries"Next [2026] year when we will take back control of the House of Representatives."Jun 01, 2025
James Carville
James Carville“He’s going to definitely deal with a Democratic House. I think it’s more likely that he’ll be dealing with a Democratic Senate.”Dec 02, 2025
Kevin McCarthy
Kevin McCarthy“You’re going to have to do something about it between then and now.”Nov 18, 2025
Larry Sabato
Larry Sabato"I think the odds are substantial that Democrats will carry the House."May 23, 2025
Paul Begala
Paul Begala"It's going to be a 40-seat landslide [for the Democrats]."Aug 05, 2025
James Carville
James Carville"We're going to pick up more than 40 House seats."Jul 04, 2025


© 2025 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 6.18.1

© 2025 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 6.18.1