Polymarket

Polymarket is a United States-based decentralized prediction market platform. It allows users to trade on the outcome of real-world events.

Claims from Polymarket

Polymarket"There is a 27% chance that the US Supreme Court will rule in favor of Trump's tariffs."Apr 23, 2026

Polymarket"There is a 40% chance that the Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by the end of April."Apr 09, 2026

Polymarket"93% chance SCOTUS strikes down Trump's birthright citizenship EO."Apr 16, 2026

Polymarket"There is an 84% chance that there will be an ECB rate hike in 2026."Apr 08, 2026