Claims
Peter Berezin"Contrary to popular perception, the US is at greater risk of a recession than it was in early 2022."Mar 07, 2025
U.S Chamber of Commerce"Barring an unforeseeable event, the economy should grow even better in 2025 than it did in 2023 and 2024."Dec 20, 2024
Bernard Markstein"I don't think that there is a significant threat of a recession in 2025."Jan 08, 2025
Kristina HooperIf "the Fed does start to ease [conditions] in September, it will likely be able to avoid a recession."Aug 02, 2024
Goldman Sachs"If the White House remained committed to its policies even in the face of much worse data, recession risk would rise further."Mar 11, 2025
American Bankers AssociationThe American Bankers Association's Economic Advisory Committee "sees recession risks at 30% both in 2025 and 2026, but there is consensus that risk could rise depending on the path of policy."Mar 26, 2025
Torsten Sløk"The bottom line for markets is that this is a modest stagflation shock to the economy but not a recession."Feb 28, 2025
S&P GlobalThere's a "25% probability of a U.S. recession starting in the next 12 months."Mar 26, 2025
Samy Chaar"For now, any risk of the US economy falling into recession [in 2025] looks limited."Mar 26, 2025
James Doti"The effects of earlier rate hikes will persist, but we anticipate a stable economic environment [in 2025]."Feb 03, 2025
Wells Fargo"[T]he solid underlying fundamentals of the U.S. economy should prevent it from slipping into recession this year."Mar 26, 2025