Polymarket

Polymarket is a United States-based decentralized prediction market platform. It allows users to trade on the outcome of real-world events.

Claims from Polymarket

Polymarket"There is a 16% chance that Elon Musk wins a $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI before 1st Jan, 2027."May 08, 2026

Polymarket"There's a 32% chance Keir Starmer will remain Prime Minister in 2026."May 01, 2026

Polymarket"There is an 19% chance that the Iranian regime will fall before 2027."May 04, 2026

Polymarket"There is a 2% chance that China will invade Taiwan by June 30th, 2026."Apr 28, 2026