Controversy
The Economist
Thom Tillis
Chris Giles
Polymarket
Kalshi
Octagon AI
Kevin Hassett
Andrew Ackerman
David Goldman
+4
Status:Open

Will Kevin Warsh be Confirmed by the US Senate as Federal Reserve Chair?

UNLIKELYLIKELY

Claims

Andrew Ackerman
Andrew Ackerman"His confirmation is all but assured."May 08, 2026
Chris Giles
Chris Giles"The US Senate will probably vote rapidly to confirm Warsh after a favourable report from its banking committee this week."May 08, 2026
The Economist
The Economist"The new man is now all but certain to be confirmed."May 08, 2026
Kalshi
Kalshi"There is a 99.1% chance Kevin Warsh will be confirmed as Fed Chair before July 1st, 2026."May 08, 2026
Polymarket
Polymarket"There is a 99% chance that Kevin Warsh will be confirmed as Federal Reserve Chair by June 30th, 2026."May 09, 2026
Yerbol Orynbayev
Yerbol Orynbayev“With the Department of Justice seemingly dropping its investigation into current chair Jerome Powell, Warsh’s path to the seat looks significantly clearer."Apr 29, 2026
Bernie Moreno
Bernie Moreno“You’re going to be confirmed, you’re going to be the Federal Reserve Chairman, and most importantly, you’re going to do an incredible job.”May 08, 2026
The Guardian
The Guardian"There is little doubt that the Senate will confirm Warsh."Apr 29, 2026
Kevin Hassett
Kevin Hassett“The White House is highly, highly confident that Kevin Warsh is a great nominee and that he should be confirmed as soon as possible."Jan 30, 2026
Octagon AI
Octagon AI"There is a 97.7% chance Kevin Warsh will be confirmed as Fed Chair."May 07, 2026
Thom Tillis
Thom Tillis“I am prepared to move on with the confirmation of Mr. Warsh, I think he’s going to be a great Fed chair."Apr 22, 2026
David Goldman
David Goldman"The Republican-majority committee and broader Senate will nevertheless probably confirm Warsh."Apr 21, 2026
Stephen Kates
Stephen Kates“This accelerates the timeline for a Kevin Warsh confirmation and increases the likelihood that the April meeting will be Jerome Powell’s last."May 08, 2026
MLQ.ai
MLQ.ai"There is a 100% chance Kevin Warsh will be confirmed as Fed Chair."May 08, 2026
"Warsh is on track to be confirmed by the full Senate before the end of his predecessor’s term as Fed chair in May."May 09, 2026
"Some 37% of the positions wagered he would be confirmed by May 15, while 78% bet it won’t happen before June 30."May 08, 2026


© 2026 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 7.5.0

© 2026 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 7.5.0