Controversy
Status:Open
Will Tesla operate a paid, fully driverless robotaxi service (no safety driver in the vehicle) open to the general public in at least one U.S. city by December 31, 2026?
UNLIKELYLIKELY
Claims
Elon Musk"I tend to be a little optimistic with time frames, but in 2026, so yeah, before 2027. Let me put it that way."Dec 02, 2025
Bernstein Research“We continue to struggle to see Tesla overcoming the technological and regulatory hurdles needed to leapfrog current level 4 robotaxis, and believe fully unsupervised FSD could be years away.”Oct 24, 2024
Kalshi"There is a 17% chance that Tesla robotaxi service will be released to the public before Jan 1, 2026."Dec 01, 2025
JO Bhakdi"Strategically, I do think we have a 90% chance to see Robotaxi domination in the next 15 months."Dec 01, 2025
Ming-Chi Kuo"My latest supply chain survey indicates that Tesla's robotaxi (aka Cybercab) may enter mass production in 1Q27."Dec 01, 2025
Alberto Artasanchez"And that snap [Robotaxi for public] looks like the first half of 2026."Dec 01, 2025
Doyouwanttoknow"I believe they’ll have robotaxi operations with or without safety monitors in 5 cities and fully remove safety monitors in at least one city by early April of 2026."Dec 01, 2025
UBS Global Wealth Management"We believe widescale Tesla robotaxi deployment is unlikely within the coming years."Oct 08, 2024
Motorhead"Next-gen platform won't be out till around 2027, Robotaxis built on that will be out thereafter."Dec 01, 2025
Cole Grinde"We are going to see Tesla Robotaxis all over the U.S. by the beginning of 2027."Dec 01, 2025
© 2025 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 6.18.1
© 2025 Improve the News Foundation.
All rights reserved.
Version 6.18.1