Narrative A

Given developed countries' current economic constraints and domestic challenges, the $300B a year COP29 climate deal represents a realistic commitment. The amount already triples previous commitments and reflects the maximum feasible contribution while balancing other national priorities. It's an important down payment toward a safer, more equitable future.

Narrative B

This agreement is woefully insufficient and falls short of the $1.3T needed to address climate adaptation, damage recovery, and clean energy transition. The current proposal severely undermines the ability of the poorest and most vulnerable nations to combat climate change impacts they didn't cause, while wealthy nations avoid their legal obligations.

Narrative C

These global climate initiatives only pretend to help the poor while resulting in the exact opposite. Carbon credit systems, for example, are designed to monetize natural resources and convert forests and ecosystems into tradable assets, benefitting investors while marginalizing local communities. These schemes often impose surveillance measures, infringe on national sovereignty, and prioritize profit over genuine environmental stewardship.

Nerd narrative

There's a 50% chance that there will be at least 2.95°C of global warming by 2100, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Narrative A

Home, a place meant for refuge, has become a graveyard for too many women. Every day, women are murdered by those they trust most — partners and family. This global scourge, fueled by intimate violence and societal neglect, leaves scars far beyond the body. Despite years of awareness, the crisis persists, unyielding, its victims unheard and unsupported. A world that allows this darkness to thrive must answer for its indifference.

Narrative B

The world paints women and girls as uniquely unsafe, but the truth is far more complex — and men and boys often face even graver dangers. While women are most at risk from intimate violence at home, men overwhelmingly suffer violence on the streets. Unfortunately, society dismisses male victims and reinforces a false, harmful narrative. Addressing violence means acknowledging all victims, rejecting bias, and embracing holistic solutions.

Nerd narrative

There's a 50% chance that the global rate of homicide deaths will be at least 5.25 per 100K people in 2025, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Narrative A

The government must maintain law and order to protect diplomatic visits and prevent the destabilization of Islamabad, as previous protests have resulted in violence and damage to state property, disrupting daily life and threatening national security.

Narrative B

The protests represent a legitimate democratic movement against political persecution, as Khan faces politically motivated cases and his party was unfairly treated in recent elections, while the government's heavy-handed response violates basic rights to assembly and communication.

Nerd narrative

There's a 21% chance that Pakistan will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Left narrative

Labour inherited a dire financial legacy from the Conservatives that, despite the tantrums of many right-wing critics, will take more than five months to repair. While they have certainly faced headwinds since entering power, Starmer's Government was elected with an overwhelming mandate to deliver change and has been forced to make difficult decisions that are important to the UK's future success.

Right narrative

The Labour government's actions looked nothing like what was promised in the manifesto. The country has been worse off since Starmer came to power, and it's no wonder that his personal popularity has nosedived alongside Labour's polling numbers. The people of Britain have had enough already, and — although unlikely to end in a general election — it feels as if Starmer is already against the clock to turn his fortunes around.

Nerd narrative

There's a 50% chance that Keir Starmer will cease to be Leader of the Labour Party by Dec. 2024, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Narrative A

In the wake of this murder, both Arab and Israeli authorities will work to condemn all violence and protect Jews around the world. Amid rising antisemitism and security threats, particularly from Iran, Jewish leaders and allies will intensify protective measures and prove that faith and unity are stronger than violence and evil.

Narrative B

Though Israel was quick to blame Iran for the rabbi's murder, the real story is the continued failure of Israel's intelligence apparatus. Iran had nothing to do with what looks like an independent act of violence. But Israel, seeking to save face, blamed Tehran anyway to not expose its shortcomings.

Nerd narrative

There's a 77% chance that the number of deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran will reach 100 before 2026, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Democratic narrative

Smith dropping this case is in no way an exoneration of Trump — it's just the result of Smith being caught between upholding the rule of law and adhering to a policy of not pursuing charges against a sitting president. Even as he faced these charges from Smith, Trump continued spreading lies about the 2020 election being stolen from him. It's unfortunate Trump won't even face trial for his undemocratic actions.

Republican narrative

The Democrats' lawfare against Trump has failed. These politically motivated cases were used as a form of election interference to try to prevent Trump's return from the White House — and now he'll be taking the oath of office next month. Although he's dropped the charges, Smith shouldn't be exonerated from facing consequences for conjuring up these preposterous cases. A full investigation must be carried out.

Anti-Russia narrative

It's time for Europe and NATO to double down on their kinetic and cyberwarfare defenses. And as Putin becomes more emboldened and Ukrainian support from the US becomes uncertain, McFadden's speech is a welcome source of motivation. Moscow has already shown its willingness to attack NATO countries' infrastructure — making Putin's latest threats all the more serious.

Pro-Russia narrative

Western countries are lucky Russia hasn't already targeted them, considering that Western special forces troops and weapons have already entered Russian territory. Putin is simply responding to months of Western talk about sending troops to Russia, not to mention their blatant green-lighting of long-range missiles being shot into Russian territory. NATO is declaring war on Russia, not the other way around.

Nerd narrative

There's an 8% chance of a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before Jan. 1, 2027, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Establishment-critical narrative

Romanians are fed up with bureaucrats in Bucharest dragging their country into the war in Ukraine, which only serves the interests of NATO, the EU, and the US military-industrial complex. That's precisely why mainstream candidates failed to make it into the runoff and why Georgescu will win the presidency.

Pro-establishment narrative

Don't take for granted that those who voted for Georgescu did so because they wanted Romania to stop supporting Ukraine. His support comes from people dissatisfied with mainstream parties who chose him because he ran as an independent candidate. There's no reason to panic, as Lasconi will defeat Georgescu in the runoff.

Nerd narrative

There's a 50% chance that there be a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict by December 2025, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Left narrative

The Onion has a chance to take this dangerous website and turn it into something nice by transforming Jones' old platform of harmful conspiracy theories into a hub of satire and truth-telling humor. By replacing Jones' damaging lies with sharp, impactful wit, The Onion will ensure that disinformation no longer profits off tragedy.

Right narrative

Regardless of anyone's opinion of Jones, he deserves the same due process as anyone else. The people behind this lawsuit are from an anti-gun rights organization, and they're using The Onion as a front to push their political agenda. Since the "winning parties" knew they would lose the auction, they made an illegal backroom deal with the government to ensure their bid would win.