'Doomsday Clock' Set at 85 Seconds to Midnight, Closest Ever
The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists set the Doomsday Clock at 85 seconds to midnight on Tuesday, marking the closest the clock has ever been to midnight since its creation in 1947. This represents a four-second shift closer than the Doomsday Clock time in 2025.
The Bulletin cited “aggressive, adversarial and nationalistic” behavior by nuclear powers Russia, China and the U.S., along with the wars in Ukraine and the Middle East, as factors behind the clock’s movement. It also raised concerns over the unregulated use of AI in military systems and its role in spreading disinformation.
The Bulletin’s Science and Security Board, in consultation with its Board of Sponsors which includes eight Nobel laureates, determines the clock’s time through consultations on threats including nuclear weapons, climate change, disruptive technologies and biological risks. The Bulletin was founded in 1945 by scientists including Albert Einstein and J. Robert Oppenheimer, with the Doomsday Clock created in 1947.
Establishment-critical narrative
Global catastrophe edges closer as major powers double down on aggressive nationalism. Russia, China and the U.S. have escalated nuclear competition, intensified regional conflicts and undermined arms control, while climate inaction and AI-driven biological threats worsen. Leadership failures and rising autocracy accelerate these existential risks. To avert disaster, nations must resume nuclear dialogue, curb destabilizing weapons and military use of AI, and invest in climate and renewable energy solutions.
Pro-Trump narrative
What the Bulletin Scientists fail to realize is that strong U.S. leadership keeps the world relatively stable. Renewed American strength under President Trump has prevented global war, restored deterrence and eliminated Iran’s nuclear threat. NATO allies now invest properly in defense, while strategic focus on homeland protection, burden-sharing and decisive operations deters Russia and China, containing nuclear escalation and mitigating AI-driven threats. Voluntary “cooperation” from Beijing or Moscow is a fantasy — only strength ensures it.
Pro-China narrative
Rising global tensions stem from U.S. obsession with absolute security superiority. By pursuing hegemony through first-use doctrines, coercive alliances and financial pressure, Washington destabilizes the global balance — like climbing too high on a shared ladder and risking collapse for all. China maintains nuclear stockpiles at minimal levels under a no-first-use policy, promotes multilateral disarmament and advances dialogue to reduce strategic risks. By emphasizing equality, restraint and shared security, China seeks stability over escalation.
Pro-Russia narrative
The Doomsday Clock’s advance reflects Washington’s refusal to pursue serious arms control. Russia repeatedly called for lowering tensions and extending New START, offering to uphold limits even after its expiration, but the U.S. failed to engage. By ignoring dialogue and expanding NATO nuclear structures, Washington fuels instability. Moscow argues real security requires equal restraint, renewed disarmament talks and recognition that strategic stability cannot exist without mutual respect.
Pro-Europe narrative
The Doomsday Clock’s warning exposes a hard truth for Europe foreign nuclear weapons remain stationed on European soil, beyond democratic control. U.S. bombs in NATO states and Russian weapons in Belarus turn Europe into both launchpad and target. Deterrence built on other nations’ arsenals leaves Europeans bearing the risk without the say. Real security requires removing foreign nukes, rejecting nuclear sharing and advancing the Nuclear Ban Treaty as a path toward disarmament.
Nerd narrative
There is a 10% chance that there will be a global thermonuclear war by 2070, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
Rep. Ilhan Omar Attacked at Minneapolis Town Hall
Democrat representative Ilhan Omar was attacked during a town hall meeting in Minneapolis on Tuesday evening when a man identified as Anthony J. Kazmierczak, 55, sprayed her with a liquid from a syringe before being tackled by security and arrested on assault charges.
Omar continued speaking after the incident despite staff urging her to get "checked out," telling the audience she was okay and stating that she had "survived war" and is "definitely going to survive intimidation" by such attacks.
The attack occurred as Omar called for the abolition of Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) and demanded that Department of Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem resign or face impeachment, following recent fatal shootings by federal agents in Minneapolis, including 37-year-old ICU nurse Alex Pretti on Saturday.
Establishment-critical narrative
The attack on Omar looks completely staged to manufacture sympathy. Moving toward an assailant after being sprayed and casually asking for a napkin instead of fearing acid or biological weapons defies all logic. This reeks of a false-flag operation designed to boost her declining popularity.
Pro-establishment narrative
The assault on Omar highlights an alarming escalation of political violence against elected officials. Nonstop dangerous rhetoric has directly fueled these attacks, making it clear that hateful speech has real-world consequences. Standing resilient against such violence is exactly what Minnesota represents.
Nerd narrative
There's a 49% chance that the U.S. will establish a government program rewarding information leading to deportations before Jan. 3, 2027, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
Al-Sharaa Meets Putin as Russia Withdraws from Syria Base
Syrian interim President Ahmed al-Sharaa was set to meet Russian President Vladimir Putin in Moscow on Wednesday, marking his second visit to Russia since taking office after the ouster of Bashar al-Assad in late 2024. The Kremlin said the talks would focus on bilateral relations and the Middle East.
The visit coincides with a gradual Russian withdrawal from positions near Qamishli airport in northeast Syria. Units, equipment and hardware are being redeployed to Russia’s much larger Hmeimim Airbase in western Syria, while remaining troops are being sent back to Russia.
Syrian government forces loyal to President Ahmed al-Sharaa recaptured large areas of northern and eastern Syria from the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) earlier this month. A ceasefire between the two sides was extended by 15 days on Saturday after a previous four-day truce expired.
Anti-Russia narrative
Russia's strategic position in Syria is crumbling as forces withdraw from Qamishli Airport and relocate to coastal bases, exposing Moscow's weakening grip on a once-reliable client state. Putin's broader network of anti-Western alliances is disintegrating across Syria, Iran and Venezuela, revealing the impotence of his attempts to challenge American hegemony. The Kremlin's failure to support Assad during the insurgent takeover and subsequent inability to maintain military positions demonstrates Russia's declining influence in the Middle East.
Pro-Russia narrative
Syria and Russia are successfully rebuilding their longstanding partnership through high-level diplomatic engagement, with al-Sharaa's second Moscow visit demonstrating continued cooperation on economic, military and regional security matters. The strategic relationship remains intact as both nations work to preserve stability and deepen bilateral ties across defense, energy and food security sectors. Moscow's military presence continues at key bases while Damascus advances territorial control, showing the resilience of Russian-Syrian relations beyond the Assad era.
Nerd narrative
There is a 60% chance that IS will return to Syria before 2031, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
UPS to Cut 30,000 Jobs
United Parcel Service (UPS) announced plans to eliminate up to 30,000 operational positions in the delivery company in its Q4 2025 earnings call on Tuesday, despite UPS recording an operating profit of $7.9 billion last year.
The move is part of the company's decoupling from Amazon, with CEO Carol Tome affirming that UPS will reduce its Amazon deliveries by 1 million pieces per day until the company refigures its networks.
During this period, on top of position cuts, UPS will eliminate variable, semi-variable and fixed costs in tandem with the reduced volume, including 25 million operating hours over the course of the year and 24 buildings in the first half of 2026.
Left narrative
UPS is not slashing jobs to resolve any financial trouble, but to pad the profit margins of Wall Street fat cats after making billions last year. Now, the same company that paid out $6.4 billion to shareholders and another billion on stock buybacks wants to make workers suffer. This restructuring reveals the extent of their corporate greed and disdain for their workforce.
Right narrative
The unions have no one to blame for UPS's latest round of job cuts but themselves. After driving wages to reckless levels through their demands and threats, they jeopardized UPS's entire workforce. Time and time again, job losses such as these are the consequence of union bargaining, leaving workers worse off in the long term.
Nerd narrative
There is a 60% chance that aerial drones will deliver 100 million or more parcels in the U.S. by 2050, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
USS Lincoln Arrives in Middle East Amid Iran Tensions, Trump Comments
Donald Trump warned Iran on Truth Social on Wednesday that "time is running out" to negotiate a deal on its nuclear program amid the build-up of U.S. military forces in the Persian Gulf. He described the USS Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier strike group moving towards Iran as a "massive Armada."
Iran's U.N. mission responded that Tehran is ready for dialogue, "based on equal footing, mutual respect, and shared interests," according to Iran state media, but will defend itself if threatened, emphasizing that its nuclear program is peaceful.
Iran issued a Notice to Airmen on Tuesday restricting airspace near the Strait of Hormuz for live-fire military drills between Tuesday and Thursday, with the area from ground level up to 25,000 feet designated as hazardous during the exercises.
Pro-Trump narrative
In light of the instability within Iran, the U.S. military has bolstered its presence in the area, deploying F-15 fighters and additional heavy equipment to enhance deterrence efforts. However, there remains an ongoing dialogue about the effectiveness of the USS Abraham Lincoln's defensive systems in the face of potential coordinated drone assaults. The situation continues to develop as both sides remain on high alert.
Pro-Iran narrative
In light of the U.S. fleet's arrival in the strategic Strait of Hormuz, Iran has taken the precaution of restricting airspace in the region for live-fire drills. Tehran has made it clear that any attempts by the U.S. and Israel to alter its governing system would trigger a "swift and comprehensive" response. This situation highlights the seriousness of the current geopolitical climate and the potential repercussions of any military actions.
Narrative C
The military buildup represents a dangerous escalation when diplomatic solutions remain available. Trump himself acknowledged Iran wants to talk and backed away from immediate action, while regional partners emphasize dialogue over military intervention that could destabilize the entire Middle East and result in yet another U.S. "forever war."
Nerd narrative
There is a 55% chance that the United States will attack Iran before April 2026, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
UK: Starmer Makes First PM Visit to China in Eight Years
U.K. Prime Minister Keir Starmer traveled to China on Wednesday, the first such visit by a U.K. leader in eight years. He will meet with Chinese President Xi Jinping and Premier Li Qiang in Beijing on Thursday for discussions on trade, investment and national security.
Starmer is accompanied by approximately 60 business leaders and cultural representatives from sectors like finance, pharmaceuticals, manufacturing and creative fields. The delegation includes executives of HSBC, AstraZeneca, Jaguar Land Rover, and British Airways.
China is the world's second largest economy and the U.K.'s third largest trading partner, with bilateral trade in goods reaching $103.7 billion in 2025. The relationship supports approximately 370,000 British jobs, according to official data.
Pro-China narrative
Eight years without a British leader visiting China marks a shameful and stupid lapse that has damaged crucial economic opportunities for British workers. During this time, Britain has foolishly lectured and threatened China with baseless smears while the country has become an economic superpower. It's time to reset relations with China, building mutual trust amid Washington's increasing instability.
Anti-China narrative
Visiting China while British citizen Jimmy Lai remains imprisoned in torturous conditions is unconscionable — the British government is mindlessly cosying-up to the Chinese Communist Party. China continues subjecting Uighurs to appalling human rights violations, brutally oppressing Hong Kong and making brazen attempts to recruit spies around Westminster. Economic gains must never override Britain's duty to safeguard national security and call out Chinese wrongdoing.
Nerd narrative
There is a 15% chance that, if China invades Taiwan before 2035, the U.K. will respond with military forces, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
Ajit Pawar Dies in Learjet Crash Near Baramati Airport
Ajit Pawar, the Deputy Chief Minister of the Indian state of Maharashtra, and four others died when a Learjet 45XR aircraft crashed near Baramati airport on Wednesday morning at around 8:45 a.m. (local time) as their flight from Mumbai was attempting to land.
The aircraft made an unsuccessful first landing attempt after the pilot reported the runway was not in sight, prompting a go-around. During the second landing attempt, the plane was cleared to land, but did not provide a readback of landing clearance.
The flight took off from Mumbai at 8:10 a.m. and disappeared from radar around 8:45 a.m. Besides Pawar, his personal security officer, an attendant, the pilot-in-command and a first officer were on board the aircraft.
Left narrative
Ajit Pawar built a career on corruption and arrogance, presiding over a massive irrigation scam that left India's Maharashtra state parched while he mocked drought-stricken farmers. His shameful suggestion to urinate in empty dams exposed the grotesque power-drunk mindset of a criminal who filled his pockets while rivers dried up. The BJP's coercion merely confirmed what everyone knew — Pawar's entire political existence depended on escaping accountability for massive theft from the people.
Right narrative
Ajit Pawar was Maharashtra's most dedicated public servant, winning every election for over three decades through genuine connection with voters and unmatched administrative excellence. His record six terms as deputy chief minister under nine different leaders proved his indispensable value to the state's governance. The tragic loss of this legendary figure robs Maharashtra of a leader who worked tirelessly for the people and deserved the chief minister position he never received.
Nerd narrative
There is a 30% chance that India's climate-driven risk will rise more than 10% in 2027 relative to 2022, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
South Korean First Lady Jailed for Accepting Luxury Bribes
Kim Keon Hee, the wife of the ousted former South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol, was sentenced to one year and eight months in prison on Wednesday for accepting bribes from the Unification Church. The court found her guilty of receiving luxury items, including a Chanel bag and a Graff diamond necklace.
The Seoul Central District Court acquitted Kim of charges of stock price manipulation and violations of the Political Funds Act, citing insufficient evidence. Prosecutors had sought a 15-year prison term and estimated the total value of stocks, bribes and polls at approximately $813,000.
Judge Woo In-seong stated that Kim "misused her status as a means of pursuing profit" and was "thirsty to receive and decorate herself" with expensive luxury items. The judge noted that Kim had not asked for the gifts and had not relayed requests from the church to her husband.
Narrative A
The month sentence is absurdly lenient and falls pathetically short of the year term prosecutors sought. The court's bizarre logic acquits her on one luxury bag while convicting on another, creating a dangerous precedent that shields powerful figures from accountability. This inadequate punishment fails to address how she manipulated state affairs for private gain and accepted millions in bribes from the Unification Church.
Narrative B
Kim Keon Hee humbly accepted the court's stern rebuke and expressed genuine remorse for causing public concern. The special counsel wasted over 10 billion won in taxpayer money with the largest investigation team ever assembled, yet secured only convictions on limited charges. The light sentence reflects the weakness of the prosecution's case, not judicial bias.
Nerd narrative
There's a 20% chance that, according to WPR, North and South Korea will be at war before 2050, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
Ecuador Protests ICE Agent's Consulate Entry Attempt
Ecuador's foreign ministry filed a formal diplomatic protest with the U.S. after an Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) agent tried to enter the country's consulate in Minneapolis, Minn., on Tuesday morning without permission, with consulate staff preventing the agent's entry.
Under the Vienna Convention on Consular Relations, of which the U.S. is a member, consular premises are inviolable, barring authorities of the host country from entering areas used exclusively for consular work without consent.
Video footage appears to show a consulate employee rushing to the entrance where an agent had opened the door, with the employee stating "This is the Ecuadorean consulate, you're not allowed to enter." The agent responded by saying "If you touch me, I'll grab you."
Left narrative
An ICE agent brazenly attempted to force entry into Ecuador's consulate in Minneapolis, violating international law and the Vienna Conventions that protect diplomatic premises. Ecuador rightfully filed a formal protest demanding such aggressive violations never happen again at any of its consular offices. This dangerous escalation of unchecked ICE aggression threatens diplomatic norms and puts vulnerable people seeking consular services at risk.
Right narrative
Ecuador transformed its Minneapolis consulate into a criminal safe house, sheltering illegal aliens on American soil while federal agents work to apprehend violent felons. Minnesota has become ground zero for massive welfare fraud orchestrated through immigrant networks, yet Democrat officials obstruct ICE from enforcing the law. Diplomatic immunity doesn't extend to harboring criminals who are stealing billions from taxpayers.
Nerd narrative
There's a 37% that U.S. authorities will transfer any current or former U.S. citizen to a prison abroad in 2028, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
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