Bank of England Raises Interest Rates for Fifth Time, UK Inflation to Reach 11%

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The Spin

Narrative A

The Bank of England is acting too modestly after it successively failed to foresee inflation rises. This is a new era of instability that demands more aggressive action to deter borrowing and strengthen the UK economy.

Narrative B

Today's central bankers don't have a choice, they have to raise interest rates gingerly to tackle inflation without wrecking economic growth. Although they are doing a thankless task, they will eventually be lauded for making the difficult but right decision that risks dampening the UK economy to protect long term stability.

Metaculus Prediction

There is a 50% chance that the benchmark interest rate in the US will be at least 2.78% on Dec. 31, 2023, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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