US military will defend Taiwan 'if it comes to that,' Biden says
FOX NewsJUL 2022
The Spin
Anti-China narrative
The US' traditional strategy of ambiguity with regard to Taipei must be reformed in light of Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Washington must make it clear that a Chinese attack would backfire, leading to the complete independence of Taiwan and the isolation of Beijing.
Pro-China narrative
The US is playing political games. Regardless, even if Washington were to abandon its commitment to the one-China policy, the declining nation has long since lacked the leverage to intimidate China.
Metaculus Prediction
There is a 5% chance that there will be a military conflict between the PRC (China) and ROC (Taiwan) before 2023, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
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