Bolsonaro supporters try to storm police HQ in ‘January 6-style’ rampage
GuardianJUL 2022
The Spin
Left narrative
Bolsonaro has repeatedly incited violence against anyone who doesn't blindly support his government. Since losing the 2022 election, his supporters have wreaked havoc. What Brazil desperately needs is a de-radicalization process that will only ever truly be completed if Bolsonaro and his followers are held accountable for their actions.
Right narrative
These protests reflect widespread doubts in Brazil, as the corrupt Lula is set to return to office by a narrow margin of support over Bolsonaro. Brazilian institutions are to blame for this distrust, as they have screened questions about both the electoral process and results. It's as if they were trying to hide something while failing to make the country's electoral system auditable.
Metaculus Prediction
There is a 1% chance that Bolsonaro will successfully stage a coup by January 2023, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
