Day 51 Roundup: Cruise Missile Attack on Kyiv Outskirts; Russia Threatens Further Intensification

    Image copyright: Russian Ministry of Defense [via The New York Times]

    The Facts

    • Blasts rocked Kyiv early on Fri. as Russia's MoD said it launched a Kalibr cruise missile attack on the 'Vizar' machine-building plant in the Zhulyany suburb. They said that the strike destroyed a workshop which produced and repaired anti-aircraft missile systems, as well as anti-ship missiles.

    • It comes amid the sinking of Russia's Moskva warship on Thurs., and an alleged series of attacks in the village of Klimovo in Russia's Bryansk region. Russia said it had shot down the Mi-8 helicopter responsible, though this couldn't be independently confirmed.


    The Spin

    Anti-Russia narrative

    This invasion is an egregious violation of international law. Putin's ultimate aim is to restore the Soviet empire, even if it takes massive bloodshed and false pretexts such as calling the 2014 Ukrainian revolution after a fraudulent election a "coup". This unprovoked attack is the latest chapter in Putin's Orwellian attempt to rewrite history.

    Pro-Russia narrative

    NATO and the US have ignored Russia's security concerns by breaking its promise not to expand eastward in return for German reunification. These concerns are legitimate and taking them seriously would have avoided the Ukraine tragedy.


    Metaculus Prediction


    Establishment split

    CRITICAL

    PRO

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