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Russia orders retreat from Kherson, key city in southern Ukraine
NBCJUL 2022
Day 259 Roundup: Fighting Intensifies in Kherson; Grain Deal in Question
Image copyright: AP Photos [via AP News]
The Spin
Pro-establishment narrative
Russia is weaponizing food insecurity at a cost to innocent people in Africa and the Middle East. This is an inhumane violation of human rights that is utterly unacceptable on the world stage. The West must do something about how easily the Kremlin can unilaterally break treaties.
Pro-Russia narrative
It is Western nations that are undermining this agreement. Russia — a key global supplier of fertilizer and other foodstuffs — hasn't seen sufficient evidence of progress in implementing the Russian parts of the deal, namely the easing of sanctions on Russian food exports. Why should it return to the deal if its terms aren't being fairly implemented?
Metaculus Prediction
There's a 50% chance that Ukraine will regain control of Kherson by Jan. 11, 2023, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
