Day 140: Ukraine and Russia Delegations Discuss Grain for First Time; Attacks Continue in Donetsk

    Image copyright: AP Photos [via AP News]

    The Facts

    • Military delegations from Russia and Ukraine, alongside officials from the UN, have reportedly agreed on key aspects of a plan to resume exports of Ukrainian grain through the Black Sea, after meeting in Istanbul on Wednesday. A deal could reportedly be signed as soon as next week.

    • Ahead of the talks, Ukraine's deputy infrastructure minister Yuriy Vaskov said that ships carrying grain had begun to pass through an important mouth of the Danube River in the last few days, sparking hopes the country will be able to increase its exports.


    The Spin

    Anti-Russia narrative

    This invasion is an egregious violation of international law. Putin's ultimate aim is to restore the Soviet empire, even if it takes massive bloodshed and false pretexts such as calling the 2014 Ukrainian revolution after a fraudulent election a "coup". This unprovoked attack is the latest chapter in Putin's Orwellian attempt to rewrite history.

    Pro-Russia narrative

    NATO and the US have ignored Russia's security concerns by breaking its promise not to expand eastward in return for German reunification. These concerns are legitimate and taking them seriously would have avoided the Ukraine tragedy.


    Metaculus Prediction


    Establishment split

    CRITICAL

    PRO

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