Day 197 Roundup: Ukraine Reportedly Makes Major Gains in Surprise Attack on Northeast

Image copyright: AP Photos [via AP News]

The Spin

Anti-Russia narrative

Ukraine's long-awaited counteroffensive seems to be taking shape and it's not only making gains in the southern Kherson region – it's driving Russians out of the northeastern Kharkiv region as well. The war's momentum is shifting in Kyiv's favor.

Pro-Russia narrative

Ukraine has thrown thousands of men into the southern counteroffensive – many of which have died without making any substantial gains. Ukraine's efforts in Kharkiv will likely suffer the same fate. Is all this human loss necessary, just for the sake of a few positive headlines in the press?

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 70% chance that more than 100,000 people will be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War in 2022, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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