Day 230 Roundup: US, Germany Promise Advanced Missile Defense Systems After Wave of Russian Attacks

Image copyright: [via Kyiv Post]

The Spin

Anti-Russia narrative

Russia's missile strikes across Ukraine are a cynical response to the attack on the Crimean Bridge; they served little to no military value but were intended to strike fear into Ukraine’s leadership and its civilian population.

Pro-Russia narrative

Russia's strikes served a clear purpose - they met terrorist attacks on Russian territory with a firm and decisive response. If this unflinching message goes unheard, and more terrorist acts continue, only the Ukrainian leadership will be responsible for the consequences.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 42% chance that there will be a large-scale armed conflict in Russia before 2030, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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