Russian missiles kill two in POLAND, sparking emergency meetings in NATO state
Daily MailJUL 2022
Day 266 Roundup: US Sources Suggest Missile that Landed in Poland was Ukrainian
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Image copyright: Reuters [via Reuters]
The Spin
Pro-establishment narrative
While the incident in Poland is unlikely to trigger NATO's article 4 or article 5, it underscores the very real risk of a full-blown Russia-NATO war in the event of an accident or a miscalculation.
Pro-Russia narrative
Premature statements from Ukrainian and Western officials that Russia was to blame for the incident in Poland are a deliberate provocation aimed at escalating the war. All Russian missiles had hit their targets precisely.
Metaculus Prediction
There's a 5% chance that a NATO country will evoke Article 5 by December 31, 2022, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
