Day 29 Roundup: Western Leaders Gather in Brussels as Russian Invasion Drags into Second Month

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    The Facts

    • As Russia's invasion of Ukraine continued into its second month on Thurs., Western leaders travelled to Brussels for an emergency NATO summit, a G7 meeting and a summit of all 27 EU member states. US Pres. Biden attended all 3 meetings.

    • In a press conference afterwards, Biden said NATO has "never been more united." He also pledged $1b more in humanitarian aid, and said the US will welcome 100,000 Ukrainian refugees.


    The Spin

    Anti-Russia narrative

    This invasion is an egregious violation of international law. Putin's ultimate aim is to restore the Soviet empire, even if it takes massive bloodshed and false pretexts such as calling the 2014 Ukrainian revolution after a fraudulent election a "coup". This unprovoked attack is the latest chapter in Putin's Orwellian attempt to re-write history.

    Pro-Russia narrative

    NATO and the US have ignored Russia's security concerns by breaking its promise not to expand eastward in return for German reunification. These concerns are legitimate and taking them seriously would have avoided the Ukraine tragedy.


    Metaculus Prediction


    Establishment split

    CRITICAL

    PRO

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