DHS bulletin warns of 'heightened threat environment,' violent months ahead
FOX NewsJUL 2022
The Spin
Right narrative
The biggest threat of violence that the US faces will be at the hands of pro-abortion leftists. Abortion groups nationwide have called for a large-scale backlash in anticipation of the potential overturning of Roe v. Wade, including protesting at the homes of Supreme Court Justices and even Catholic masses.
Left narrative
It is a demonstrable fact that since the current upsurge in political violence began in 2015, the brutality has been overwhelmingly perpetrated by white supremacists and right-wing extremists. The recent shooting in Buffalo is a prime example of how racist far-right rhetoric has led to terrible violence across the country.
Narrative C
Regardless of the ideology of any extremist actors, the fact remains that the US has more guns than citizens: some 400M firearms in 2018 in a nation of 330M people, and semi-automatic handguns have been outselling hunting rifles for over a decade. Until we address this root problem, we would be mad to expect anything other than more carnage - whether the perpetrators sympathize with the left, right, or neither.
Metaculus Prediction
There is an 18% chance that the Insurrection Act will be invoked in the US before 2025, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
