EU Toughens Travel Rules for Russians

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The Spin

Narrative A

This is good, but not enough. The EU must immediately ramp up the socio-political cost of Putin's invasion of Ukraine. A total visa ban would send a clear signal to Moscow that it is not okay for Russians to travel for leisure and shopping as if no war were raging in Ukraine.

Narrative B

Brussels has once again shot itself in the foot. Restricting the movement of all Russian citizens in Europe is unfair and is a move that will not stand without far-reaching consequences. The EU can expect Russian countermeasures.

Metaculus Prediction

There is a 95% chance Russia will be the world's most sanctioned country by February 2023, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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