FBI: Iran Govt Hackers Targeted US Children's Hospital

Image copyright: Bloomberg via Getty Images [via NBC News]

The Spin

Narrative A

Iran, as well as China and Russia, pose an existential threat to the US' critical infrastructure. There's no doubt that US enemies will use system vulnerabilities to engage in cyberwarfare and weaken the country from within. Steps must be taken to protect the US and strengthen its networks.

Narrative B

Though it may seem obvious that Iran, or any other geopolitical rival to the US, would be behind these types of attacks, determining the attribution of cyberattacks is incredibly difficult. Attribution is one of the core conundrums of cybersecurity, and, in certain circumstances, it can be essentially impossible to accurately determine who launched a cyberattack given the decentralized nature of how the cyberworld functions.

Metaculus Prediction

There is a 35% chance that a cyberattack will directly cause one or more deaths in 2022, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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