House Democrats’ sweeping gun control package could be even bigger
VoxJUL 2022
The Spin
Democratic narrative
The US has once again been reminded that gun violence can reach all American children. This new legislative package is a much-needed and long-awaited example of humanity, decency and action - the GOP should now be held responsible for passing the measures to curb further tragedies.
Republican narrative
This legislation will do nothing to curb gun violence. Most attacks are committed by over 21s and proposed changes to serial numbers and gun registries would be expensive as well as ineffective. These changes won't protect children, they'll only curb Americans' rights.
Metaculus Prediction
There's a 50% chance that by 2029 there will be at least 1.37 civilian-held small firearms per capita in the US (about 14% more than now) according to the Metaculus prediction community.
