Hurricane Agatha kills 11, leaves 20 missing in south Mexico
NBCJUL 2022
The Spin
Narrative A
This is but the latest tragic result of climate change. As with other similar explosive hurricanes, unusually warm waters - catalyzed by human-caused climate change - fueled the storm's rapid intensification before its deadly landfall. Global warming must be addressed now, or storms like this will only become more frequent.
Narrative B
It's easy to dismiss any extreme weather event as a consequence of climate change, but in reality they're usually influenced by a myriad of factors. More research is needed before we can establish any direct causal link between the two.
Metaculus Prediction
There is a 48% chance that New York City will experience a hurricane by 2030, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
