India and PRC Begin Pullback from Disputed Border

Image copyright: AFP/Getty Images [via DW]

The Spin

Narrative A

Working through these issues can help forge a strong and dynamic relationship between these two Asian powers. On the world stage, the mutual withdrawal also showcases Beijing's ability to broker a positive environment for resolving conflicts in the region.

Narrative B

This process is going to be long and complex. While it's a much-needed step toward achieving a peaceful solution to this tense border standoff, many steps remain. Both the PRC and India must continue to comply with the terms of the agreement and focus on any issues that result. The devil will be in the details.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 30% chance that there will be a deadly clash involving gunfire or explosives between India and China before 2024, according to the Metaculs prediction community.


Articles on this story