Jan 6: DOJ Wants Bannon to Serve 6 Months In Prison

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The Facts

  • On Monday, the US Dept. of Justice (DOJ) recommended that Steve Bannon should serve six months in prison and pay a $200K fine for defying a congressional subpoena.

  • In a sentencing memorandum filed before US District Judge Carl Nichols for having pursued a "bad-faith strategy of defiance and contempt," Barron's attorney asked the judge to release the ex-Trump aide on probation while his guilty verdict is appealed.


The Spin

Democratic narrative

Bannon's latest troubles only show that the walls are closing in on Trump and his allies. Although the wheels of justice turn slowly, they are still turning — the GOP should move away from the MAGA movement as quickly as possible if they have any sense.

Republican narrative

Despite charges against him, Bannon's strategy of encouraging MAGA supporters to regain control of the GOP from the bottom up could have massive electoral implications for years to come. Undeserved prison time may only bolster Bannon's support with his fanbase, and his influence seemingly will not die anytime soon.


Metaculus Prediction


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