Japan: Man Sets Himself Ablaze Over Abe’s State Funeral

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The Spin

Establishment-critical narrative

Opting for convening a state funeral – the second for a prime minister in Japan's post-war history – was a questionable decision by PM Fumio Kishida. His rationale was that this event could help him domestically and internationally, but he failed to anticipate the emerging links between Abe and the Unification Church affecting public opinion. Now, he can't backtrack on the event and his approval ratings are plummeting.

Pro-establishment narrative

Though some older people oppose it, Abe deserves a state funeral for his achievements as Japan's prime minister. He was able to put the Japanese economy back on track with his "Abenomics," more than doubling the Nikkei stock average and tackling unemployment during his record tenure. Some problems did exist, but the positive aspects of his administration should prevail when it comes to his memorial service. Abe was one of Japan's greatest leaders.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 50% chance that the Liberal Democratic Party will lose its status as the largest party in the House of Representatives of Japan by 2043, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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