Trump Organization faces trial today on criminal fraud charges in New York
CBSJUL 2022
The Spin
Democratic narrative
Although Trump can’t be personally held responsible in this case, the chance for prosecutors to expose his company’s fraudulent tax practices could be an appetizer to the main course of future criminal cases and civil cases faced by the former president. Trump should be worried about what all these cases are doing to his prospects for a presidential run in 2024.
Pro-Trump narrative
The Democrats’ witch hunt never rests. New York AG Letitia James, a Democrat, is a biased actor looking for a crime in this case — she’s trying to shamelessly score political points by blocking Trump and his family from doing business in her state.
Metaculus Prediction
There is a 20% chance Donald Trump will be jailed by 2030, according to the Metaculus community.
