Pakistan: Ex-PM Khan Calls on Govt. to Announce New Elections

    Image copyright: AFP/Getty Images [via Independent]

    The Spin

    Establishment-critical narrative

    Khan's ousting was a Western conspiracy. The US has a long history of foreign meddling, especially in Muslim countries, and this move was a response to Khan seeking an independent foreign policy and not supporting the West's war effort against Russia.

    Pro-establishment narrative

    Imran Khan has taken a page out of the playbook of populist demagogues around the world who are growing increasingly popular by appealing to dissatisfaction with "status quo elites." The demographics may be different in Pakistan, where Imran's base skews young and urban, but the dynamics are the same, and it is not good for democracy.

    Metaculus Prediction

    There's a 45% chance that Pakistan will default on its debt in 2022, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


    Establishment split

    CRITICAL

    PRO

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