Russia Halts Gas Supplies to Poland and Bulgaria

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    The Spin

    Pro-Russia narrative

    By refusing to pay for Russian gas in rubles, Bulgaria and Poland are knowingly sacrificing their economies over a contrived political prejudice and desire to further punish Russia. The reality is, their decision hurts their own citizens.

    Anti-Russia narrative

    Putin is using gas as a weapon to blackmail the West, and neighboring countries are rightly standing in solidarity and refusing to submit. The EU has been obtaining alternative gas sources for several years now, and will not face any immediate trouble.

    Metaculus Prediction

    According to the Metaculus prediction community, there is a 99% chance that at least three European countries will refuse to buy natural gas from Russia in 2022.


    Establishment split

    CRITICAL

    PRO

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