The Spin

Democratic narrative

The discrimination resulting from centuries of oppression against Black Americans hasn't yet been undone. Affirmative action remains a crucial tool for promoting diversity at academic institutions — ensuring all races receive equal opportunities in higher education.

Republican narrative

To stop discrimination based on race, we must literally stop discriminating based on race. The Fourteenth Amendment prohibits this, making affirmative action unconstitutional. Institutions of higher education must understand that "equal protection" means equal — not something to be politicized with woke factors.

Metaculus Prediction

There is a 35% chance that over half of US states will forbid affirmative action before 2035, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


Political split

LEFT

RIGHT

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