Supreme Court to review state legislatures’ power in federal elections
Washington PostJUL 2022
SCOTUS to Review State Legislatures' Powers in Federal Elections
Image copyright: AP [via The New York Times]
The Spin
Democratic narrative
By taking this case, SCOTUS has opened up the possibility of allowing states to subvert national elections, which is exactly what Trump tried to do after he lost in 2020. Beyond the courts, if SCOTUS rules in favor of the N.C. legislators, state election agencies that are just doing their job could be overruled by legislatures whose majority party lost an election.
Pro-Trump narrative
After a session that featured triumphs related to abortion, gun rights and election integrity, the decision to hear this case is another victory for the republic. This was all made possible by former President Trump's appointments, which remade SCOTUS and the entire judiciary with originalist judges.
Metaculus Prediction
There is a 31% chance that any state will refuse to certify its election results during the 2024 US presidential election, according to the Metaculus Prediction community.
