Sri Lanka down to one-day supply of gasoline, prime minister says
NBCJUN 2022
The Spin
Pro-establishment narrative
Former PM Mahinda Rajapaksa was a beloved figure who has devoted his entire adult life to public service; he just wasn't equipped to handle Sri Lanka's unprecedented economic turmoil. With his resignation, Pres. Gotabaya Rajapaksa can bring new blood into his administration in the form of Wickremesinghe to solve this crisis.
Establishment-critical narrative
Wickremesinghe is not the band-aid that Pres. Gotabaya Rajapaksa thinks he will be. Sri Lankans see him as just another connected and corrupt career politician being brought in to replace Mahinda without challenging Rajapaksa's control. The move will not quell the anger of anti-government protests.
Metaculus Prediction
There is a 50% chance that Gotabaya Rajapaksa will no longer be president of Sri Lanka by 2023, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
