Sri Lanka: Protesters Reject Government, Urge Rajapaksa to Leave

    Image copyright: Reuters [via Le Monde]

    The Spin

    Establishment-critical narrative

    The ongoing tragedy in Sri Lanka is the direct result of dynastic politics and corruption. Entrenched families have wielded power in Sri Lanka for years, using their influence to enrich themselves at the expense of the people, who now bear the burden of the economic collapse engineered by the Rajapaksa clan.

    Pro-establishment narrative

    It's easy to point fingers at the Rajapaksas, but the economic crisis isn't unique to Sri Lanka. The current bout of global inflation and the supply crunch of oil and gas caused by the Russian invasion of Ukraine is going to impact many other similarly positioned emerging market economies in the coming months.

    Metaculus Prediction

    There is a 99% chance that Gotabaya Rajapaksa will no longer be the President of Sri Lanka before 2023, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


    Establishment split

    CRITICAL

    PRO

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