What’s going on with the Greenland ice sheet? It’s losing ice faster than forecast and now irreversibly committed to at least 10 inches of sea level rise
The ConversationJUL 2022
Study: Melting Greenland Ice to Raise Sea Levels By 1ft
Image copyright: Associated Press [via The New York Post]
The Spin
Narrative A
This important study has produced a dire message - the rise of sea levels is coming, whether we act now to stop burning fossil fuels or not. Although the damage is not entirely reversible, if nations can effectively implement the Paris Climate Agreement, we could reduce the predicted rise in sea levels from 78cm to 27cm. There is still time to minimize the damage we are doing to the planet and avoid a more catastrophic future.
Narrative B
Climate and environmental disasters have been predicted by modern-day doomsayers for decades. None of the apocalyptic predictions have come true so far; why would this time be any different?
Metaculus Prediction
There is a 50% chance that sea levels will rise by at least 577mm by 2100, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
