Nicola Sturgeon has put Boris Johnson in a tight corner
Spectator (UK)JUL 2022
The Spin
Left narrative
The refusal by Westminster to entertain the prospect of a second independence referendum is anti-democratic. However, as long as the Tories are in power, this will seemingly not change. Nobody is calling for the SNP to give up on dreams of independence, but progressive parties need to unite around a common cause of pushing the Conservatives out of Downing Street before real talks can begin.
Right narrative
Sturgeon, despite everything else going on in the world, is still fixated on Scottish Independence. Her voice is that of dangerous, intolerant, and tribalist nationalism. The SNP is only presiding over a declining economy and public services that show that her party is not fit to take care of Scotland.
Metaculus Prediction
There is a 20% chance that Scotland will leave the United Kingdom before 2030, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
