Biden Brings a Butter Knife to an Iranian Gunfight
Washington Free BeaconJUL 2022
The Spin
Narrative A
Syria has become a major threat to the very existence of Israel, as Iran and Hezbollah have expanded their presence in the country. In response, Israel has had no choice but to adopt a "war between wars," targeting Iranian and Iran-backed military presence and weapons that have been positioned in Syria to attack Israel.
Narrative B
Israel is continuing to violate international law and treaties as well as the sovereignty of its neighbors through routine aggression. The UN Security Council must act to halt Israeli defiance of internationally agreed norms to promote peace and stability in the Middle East.
Metaculus Prediction
There's a 49% chance that there will be an Israel-Hezbollah war by 2030, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
