The first ministerial resignation over partygate – could more follow?
Spectator (UK)JUL 2022
UK Justice Minister Resigns Over Partygate Revelations
Image copyright: Crown Copyright [via The Telegraph]
The Spin
Left narrative
This puts yet more pressure on Johnson to do the decent thing and resign. It's becoming ever clearer that his position is untenable and voters are incensed at his arrogance and double standards. By staying in office, the PM is eroding fundamental constitutional principles.
Right narrative
Now is not the right or responsible time for Johnson to go. The UK and the rest of Europe face an international crisis over the Russian invasion of Ukraine; though a change of leader would be appropriate under normal circumstances, the UK cannot risk appointing a lame-duck PM at such a grave time.
Metaculus Prediction
There's a 50% chance that Boris Johnson will still the UK PM by August 2023 according to the Metaculus prediction community,
