Von der Leyen Recommends EU Candidate Status for Ukraine

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    The Spin

    Pro-establishment narrative

    As affirmed by the EU Commission, Ukrainians have demonstrated that they're willing to die for the European way of life. It's only right they be given access to the European dream.

    Establishment-critical narrative

    If Ukraine were to join the EU, it would only further complicate the country's position with Russia and draw the world even nearer to a global conflict. Are we sure this is such a good idea?

    Metaculus Prediction

    There is a 2% chance that Ukraine will join the European Union before 2024, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


    Establishment split

    CRITICAL

    PRO

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