Thousands Join Far-Right March on Polish Independence Day
TimeJUL 2022
The Spin
Right narrative
This march is a popular procession organized bottom-up to celebrate the creation of an independent Polish state in the aftermath of World War I. The Independence March has been a major act of national belonging for the entire Polish nation regardless of individual identities.
Left narrative
This march is the product of three fascist, far-right groups, and the Polish national-conservative government has supported it by barring any attempts to outlaw it. Worse than that, the march organizers have always blamed provocateurs when their own participants cause violence — including once setting an apartment on fire for displaying an LGBTQ+ flag.
Metaculus Prediction
There's a 50% chance that Poland's Economist's Democracy Index will be at least 7.02 in 2030, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
