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PBS NewsHourJUL 2023
Day 317: Frontline Situation Unclear After Russia Declares Ceasefire
Image copyright: AP Photos [via AP News]
The Spin
Anti-Russia narrative
Putin's hastily announced ceasefire is part of an information war aimed at discrediting Ukrainians. Ukraine could not be reasonably expected to suddenly meet its terms and Putin wants to leverage this to make Ukrainians seem unwilling to cooperate.
Pro-Russia narrative
A hand of Christian mercy was offered to Ukrainians, but this was swiped away. This helps Russians to know who they're dealing with and ensures that future opportunities for deception don't creep in.
Metaculus Prediction
There is a 2% chance that Ukraine will join NATO before 2024, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
